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Google,
the global search engine leader, now has almost become a byword
for the sector. But rapidly-growing Chinese searching engines
firms could pose great challenges to Google after its arrival
in China, with the US firm being forced to seek local partners
in order to adopt a better approach to the local market, said
experts.
"It
is hard to predict whether Google's business will go as smoothly
in China as it has in overseas markets," said Yang Bo, consulting
manager of Shanghai-based iResearch, a domestic leading market
research firm.
US-based
Google has no physical presence in China, except buying a minority
stake in Baidu.com Inc.
But
as the giant seeks an initial public offering on NASDAQ, it is
believed that Google will enter the China market soon after this.
Google's
recent share-purchasing of Baidu indicates that the giant is fully
aware of the potential threat from Baidu and tries to minimize
this, said Yang.
Eight
Chinese and overseas investors, including Google and venture capital
firms sank about US$100 million into Baidu for a combined minority
share.
Baidu,
which is similar to Google in many respects, is the world's largest
Chinese-language searching engine and enjoys as wide recognition
among Chinese netizens as Google does.
The
mutually beneficial deal meanwhile will help Baidu win more popularity
among netizens, paving the way for its expected listing and further
expansion, said Yang.
Meanwhile,
http://www.zhongsou.com/ is also considered as a potential major
rival.
Zhongsou
General Manager Chen Pei said Google is "nothing to be afraid
of, as no foreign search engine firm has achieved success in China,"
whereas Zhongsou is expanding aggressively thanks to its cutting
edge search engine technology.
"Zhongsou
is a relatively new brand of search engine, but we have seized
a considerable chunk of business from Baidu," Chen said.
In
particular, Zhongsou launched I-Pig earlier last month, a desktop
searching service that enables offline searching.
"Desktop
searching is a technological trend that search engines will pursue,
and we are by far the only Chinese firm that has grasped this
technology," Chen said.
Google
and Microsoft are also betting heavily on this new technology.
The
advanced technology could make Zhongsou a rival of Baidu within
two to three years if Zhongsou continues to attract more users,
said Yang.
Indeed,
foreign players including Yahoo! and Microsoft have learned from
their growth in China that the key to success lies in local sales
channels, which they cannot access without co-operation with local
firms, said Yang.
"Their
global strategies, which disregard the specific habits and needs
of Chinese consumers, do not work well, and any application filed
to the headquarters asking for adaptations takes quite a long
time," he explained.
And
Yahoo!'s acquisition of Chinese search engine firm http://www.3721.com/
last November was a response to its changed market strategy, said
Yang.
3721
has already established a complete set of channels with a rich
experience in China's search engine business.
Therefore,
what tops Google's agenda is to have an ideal local company as
its business agency, said Yang.
But
Baidu does not appear to be the target, despite the widely speculated
acquisition.
Baidu
officials were quoted as saying that Baidu will continue to seek
an independent listing, scheduled in September.
Echoing
Yang's view, Zhou Yi, an analyst at leading domestic research
house Analysys Consulting, said Google is very likely to acquire
some local players with a better understanding of the market,
but they are not necessarily search engine firms.
Google's
presence in China also largely depends on how it views the market.
It
will probably be another failure story if Google only considers
China as part of its overseas market where it can expand under
a unified overseas strategy, he added.
Several
Chinese search engines have recently launched services focused
on specific business, and the increasingly segmented market is
also what Google should ponder, said Yang.
8848.com,
China's largest e-commerce website, now offers shopping search
engines, and Zhongsou has launched similar service so that online
buyers can easily find out what they want on the Internet.
Chinese
software vendor Kingsoft Corp has recently tiptoed into search
engine market by providing a vocabulary search service.
Apart
from its Chinese counterparts, the giant's arch-rival Yahoo!,
with its advanced YST (Yahoo searching technology) and 3721.com's
resources, is also prepared to grab a larger share of the China
market with its recent launch of the professional search engine
yisou.com.
While
offering free searching services to netizens, searching engine
firms make profit from selling online advertisement and rankings
of companies listed in the search results.
Statistics
released by iResearch show that the size of China's search engine
market attained 500 million yuan (US$60.24 million)last year,
up 117 percent from 2002.
And
with an annual growth expected between 60 percent and 70 percent
in the next three years, the market will be valued at 840 million
yuan (US$101.2 million) this year and 2.3 billion yuan (US$277
million) in 2006.
(China Business Weekly July 12, 2004)
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